The party whose candidate is announced to have received the largest number of votes from individual American voters in the 2024 Presidential Election compared to any other candidate in such election will be considered the winning outcome of this market.
This market will be resolved according to the official vote count of the electoral bodies of the United States and the consensus of press outlets reports. The consensus on the mathematical impossibility of a candidate winning over the other in the popular vote will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The resolution to this market is independent of whether or not the elected president is chosen based on the majority of the Electoral College votes, or any other procedure required by Congress based on the Constitution of the United States. It also is irrelevant to it whether or not the winner of the popular vote is elected president or not. All that matters is that there is a candidate with more individual votes than others.
The choice of images and eventual use of a candidate's name in parenthesis after the Party name among the listed outcomes is merely illustrative. Therefore, if the Republican or Democratic candidates turn out to change after this market was opened, for example, the market will remain valid and will still be resolved based on the party names.
See the current crowd-generated prediction, and make your own bet: Who will win the US presidential election popular vote?